Hedge Funder Dalio Thinks the Fed Can Repeat 1937 All Over Again

Tightening at the End of the Supercycle?: Ray Dallo

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Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund firm, Bridgewater Associates, told investors there’s a risk that the Federal Reserve could create a market rout similar to that of 1937 if it raises interest rates too fast.

The Fed has signaled that rates will rise in June or September, and it would be difficult for policy makers not to deliver, Dalio and Mark Dinner wrote in a note to clients dated March 11. Given Bridgewater’s belief that “the same things happen over and over again,” the $165 billion Westport, Connecticut-based firm doesn’t want to have concentrated bets, according to the note, a copy of which was obtained by Bloomberg News.